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The Bitcoin rally 2025 has entered uncharted territory this week, with BTC price smashing through the $90,000 resistance level as institutional investors flood the market with record capital inflows.
This latest surge in Bitcoin’s 2025 rally shows a 48% gain since June alone, marking the cryptocurrency’s strongest third-quarter performance in history and confirming analysts’ predictions of an extended bull cycle.
Analysts tracking Bitcoin price movement say key metrics remain bullish. For traders betting big.
In the heart of this optimism are powerful on-chain signals. Analysts are pointing to key stablecoin metrics that suggest the Bitcoin rally 2025 still has room to run.
At the center of this analysis is João Wedson, Founder and CEO of crypto analytics firm Alphractal, whose recent post on the X platform sparked widespread attention.
The crypto world thrives on signals, and stablecoins are currently flashing green. According to Wedson, three key indicators are supporting the ongoing Bitcoin rally 2025: the Stablecoin Supply Ratio (SSR) Oscillator, the Stablecoin Ratio Channel Long-Term View, and the Short-Term View.
“None of these metrics currently indicate overbought conditions, suggesting that Bitcoin (and other cryptos) could continue rising for a few more months,” Wedson explained in his X post.
The SSR Oscillator—used to track Bitcoin’s market cap relative to total stablecoin market cap—is acting as a bullish compass.
This metric, which applies a 200-day moving average and standard deviation for smoothing, identifies whether Bitcoin is overvalued or undervalued in relation to the liquidity provided by stablecoins.
Alphractal’s latest readings show the SSR Oscillator is not flashing a sell signal, further fueling optimism about the Bitcoin rally 2025.
As liquidity continues to pour into stablecoins like USDT and USDC, the implication is clear: the buying power is there to support more upside.
Beyond the SSR, the Stablecoin Ratio Channel provides a dual-lens view of Bitcoin’s potential. The long-term view helps investors identify undervalued zones where Bitcoin trades reasonably relative to stablecoin-backed liquidity.
Meanwhile, the short-term channel, better suited for swing traders, captures fast-moving shifts in sentiment and momentum.
According to Alphractal’s charts, both views have shown multiple “buy” signals since early 2025—a signal that the Bitcoin rally 2025 is not showing exhaustion.
Despite the bullish data, not everything is without risk. One of the wildcards in the Bitcoin rally 2025 narrative is regulatory pressure.
With the United States and the European Union tightening stablecoin oversight, future liquidity inflows may face new hurdles.
Still, many experts remain confident. The U.S. Treasury recently projected that the stablecoin market could skyrocket to $2 trillion, doubling its current size.
Combined with low interest rates and a general macroeconomic tilt toward digital assets, the structural support for the Bitcoin rally 2025 remains strong.
Crypto strategist Katie Stockton, founder of Fairlead Strategies, echoed the stablecoin-driven optimism in a recent Bloomberg interview:
“Bitcoin’s short-term pullback was healthy. We’re seeing signs of renewed momentum, and the stablecoin data supports sustained growth into the second half of 2025.”
Likewise, Antoni Trenchev, co-founder of crypto lender Nexo, told CNBC:
“This is not a typical correction. It’s consolidation before the next leg up. The stablecoin signals are among the most reliable leading indicators in today’s market.”
So, is the Bitcoin rally 2025 approaching a ceiling—or is it only just beginning? All signs from the stablecoin ecosystem suggest the latter.
As long as key ratios remain below overbought levels and institutional capital continues to eye crypto, Bitcoin’s bullish path seems well-supported.
In fact, with volatility moderating and liquidity rising, the second half of 2025 could be the stage for an even stronger leg up in Bitcoin’s price. The metrics aren’t just hopeful—they’re historically reliable, and this time, they’re all aligned.
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