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Despite growing optimism that the U.S. government’s 41-day shutdown may soon end, Bitcoin ETF inflows remain stagnant — signaling waning investor enthusiasm for the leading cryptocurrency’s exchange-traded funds.
On Monday, the U.S. Senate approved a bipartisan funding package to reopen the government, with the House of Representatives expected to vote as early as Wednesday, according to CBS News. Senate Majority Leader John Thune expressed confidence that final passage would take “hours, not days,” in comments to the Military Times.
However, the political progress in Washington did little to lift market sentiment. Data from Farside Investors showed that spot Bitcoin ETF inflows totaled just $1.2 million on Monday, reflecting muted demand even as other risk assets like gold and equities rebounded sharply.
“Despite the U.S. shutdown seemingly ending, and the S&P and gold bouncing hard, Bitcoin ETFs saw NO bid yesterday,” said Charles Edwards, Founder of Capriole Investments, in a post on X.
“Risk assets usually see a strong bid in the weeks out of the shutdown. Still time to turn this ship around, but it needs to turn.”
For much of 2025, Bitcoin ETF inflows — along with institutional acquisitions led by investment firms like Strategy — have been the driving force behind Bitcoin’s rally. But the recent stall raises questions about whether the current momentum can continue through the final quarter of the year.
According to Source, BlackRock’s Bitcoin ETF remains the only fund with positive year-to-date inflows, drawing $28.1 billion, while competing issuers collectively recorded net outflows of $1.27 million as of late October.
Geoff Kendrick, Global Head of Digital Assets Research at Standard Chartered, recently told Cointelegraph that Bitcoin ETF inflows have been the “primary driver” of Bitcoin’s market strength this year. However, without renewed institutional interest, that strength could fade.
Market observers note that the lack of fresh Bitcoin ETF inflows reflects broader investor caution as global liquidity tightens and macroeconomic uncertainty persists. While the U.S. government’s funding resolution might provide short-term stability, analysts warn it may not be enough to reignite enthusiasm for risk assets like cryptocurrencies.
Despite the lackluster inflows, analysts at Bitfinex argue that Bitcoin’s current pullback is part of a healthy “mid-cycle consolidation phase,” rather than the beginning of a broader market correction.
“The current correction exhibits a structure strikingly similar to those observed in June 2024 and February 2025, both pivotal inflection points where Bitcoin balanced between recovery and deeper contraction,” Bitfinex analysts.
They added that each retracement since the start of the bull market in 2023 has averaged about a 22% decline from the all-time high before reversing upward — a pattern that still holds true in 2025.
Roughly 72% of Bitcoin’s circulating supply remains in profit even after the recent price dip to $100,000, signaling that the market retains substantial unrealized gains. Still, analysts caution that a sustained rebound will require “renewed inflows of demand” from both institutional and retail participants to fuel the next leg of the rally.
While Bitcoin ETF inflows stagnated, Ether (ETH) ETFs also showed no significant movement on Monday, suggesting a general pause across major crypto investment vehicles. In contrast, Solana (SOL) ETFs attracted $6.8 million in new investment — their tenth consecutive day of net positive inflows, according to Farside Investors.
This divergence highlights a growing investor appetite for alternative blockchain assets even as Bitcoin remains the industry bellwether.
Still, analysts agree that without consistent Bitcoin ETF inflows, overall market liquidity could tighten, potentially slowing capital rotation into other crypto assets.
As the U.S. shutdown resolution approaches, market participants will be closely watching whether institutional buyers return to the market — or whether the current stagnation marks a deeper cooling of enthusiasm in the ETF-driven Bitcoin era.
