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Bitcoin traded near $92,000 Tuesday as cryptocurrency investors awaited a U.S. Supreme Court ruling on Trump-era tariffs that could force the government to refund more than $130 billion to importers.
The decision, expected later in the day, will determine whether former President Donald Trump lawfully imposed tariffs under emergency economic powers.
Traders say the ruling could influence broader risk sentiment and demand for alternative assets, though analysts disagree on whether the connection between trade policy and cryptocurrency prices is direct or overstated.
In the hours leading up to the Supreme Court decision, the crypto market forecast reflects a cautious but steady tone. Digital asset prices posted modest gains, with Bitcoin up about 1.5%, Ethereum rising roughly 0.5%, and XRP advancing 0.7%. Market participants appear to be waiting for clarity rather than placing aggressive bets.
Lower courts have already rejected the government’s use of IEEPA-based tariffs, and if the Supreme Court agrees, the U.S. could be required to return more than $130 billion. That potential liability has sharpened concerns about fiscal strain and the limits of executive authority, creating a tense backdrop for financial markets.
“Mid-January markets are tense ahead of the Supreme Court ruling on Trump’s tariffs, with traders monitoring trade policy, executive authority, and fiscal risks,” — Market summary, crypto.news.
This sense of restraint underscores how closely the crypto market forecast is tied to macroeconomic and legal developments. While price action remains positive, it lacks the momentum typically associated with strong conviction, suggesting that traders are positioning defensively until the ruling is known.
The Supreme Court’s decision is widely viewed as a stress test for the broader economy, making it a key variable in the crypto market forecast. Should the court strike down the tariffs, the resulting fiscal obligation could increase uncertainty around government spending and debt, factors that historically push some investors toward alternative assets.
“Lower courts rejected the government’s IEEPA-based tariffs; if upheld, the U.S. could owe over $130 billion, creating fiscal strain and executive power debates,” — Market analysis, crypto.news.
Even if the tariffs are upheld, trade tensions and inflation concerns would remain part of the economic landscape. Cryptocurrencies have often benefited during periods of policy uncertainty, as investors look for hedges outside traditional financial systems.
As a result, analysts see the ruling as a potential catalyst that could influence capital flows into digital assets, reinforcing longer-term themes already embedded in the crypto market forecast.
Bitcoin remains central to the crypto market forecast as the Supreme Court decision approaches. The largest cryptocurrency is trading near $92,070, holding above the psychologically important $90,000 level but facing resistance near key exponential moving averages.
A short-term pullback could test support around $86,000, though analysts say deeper losses would likely require broader market stress.
“BTC maintains a bullish outlook near $92,070, while ETH and XRP may see short-term volatility but long-term opportunities remain strong,” — Market summary, crypto.news.
Bitcoin’s resilience reflects its role as the market’s primary hedge against macroeconomic uncertainty. Within the broader crypto market forecast, Bitcoin is seen as the asset most likely to absorb capital if investors respond defensively to the ruling, especially if confidence in fiscal or trade policy weakens.
Ethereum and XRP occupy a more sensitive position in the crypto market forecast, given their higher exposure to shifts in risk sentiment. Ethereum is hovering around $3,133 and could experience short-term volatility if the Supreme Court ruling unsettles markets.
However, longer-term expectations remain constructive, supported by anticipated institutional inflows and ongoing infrastructure development.
XRP, trading near $2.06, has historically shown sharper moves during periods of uncertainty. Traders may initially rotate into safer assets, but a rebound in sentiment could see XRP benefit as capital flows back into alternative cryptocurrencies.
XRP 1-day chart, January 2026 | Source: crypto.news
“Crypto markets are showing modest gains… as traders remain cautious,” — Market overview, crypto.news.
As the Supreme Court prepares to deliver its ruling on January 14, the crypto market forecast points to near-term caution paired with longer-term opportunity. Bitcoin continues to act as a stabilizing force, while Ethereum and XRP may face volatility before benefiting from renewed confidence.
