TRUMP token unlock ignites market shock as 45% supply release triggers fear, opportunity

The highly anticipated TRUMP token unlock is set to shake the crypto landscape, as nearly 45% of the token’s circulating supply—worth over $959 million—enters the market on July 18, 2025.

The TRUMP token unlock, already creating waves across the crypto space, will dramatically alter the token’s supply-demand dynamics.

Coming alongside major unlocks from ZRO and ARB, the TRUMP token unlock tops the list with the largest scheduled release of the week, stirring investor anxiety and intense speculation.

According to data from Tokenomist, the unlocked amount represents nearly five times the monthly average of token emissions—a signal that the coming days may be turbulent for TRUMP holders.

For context, this release dwarfs the average monthly unlock of $209.6 million, pushing the July 18 unlock value to an estimated $959.12 million.

“Unlock events of this size rarely pass without significant market repercussions. We may see early price action as insiders or whales anticipate the event,” said James Wo, CEO of DFG (Digital Finance Group).

Whale movements raise red flags

Early signals suggest whales are already bracing for the TRUMP token unlock. Arkham Intelligence tracked a major transaction by MemeCore, which transferred 1.391 million TRUMP tokens—worth $13.35 million—to Binance, likely positioning for liquidation.

While this alone doesn’t confirm a full-fledged sell-off, it adds to mounting concerns.

“TRUMP is down 85% from its all-time high — and it’s not over yet as a massive $520 million worth of tokens are set to unlock on July 18. Volatility incoming,” said crypto analyst Kamil on X (formerly Twitter).

Another case study fueling fear is Pi Network (PI), which saw heavy selling and a price crash during its own unlock phase.

The pattern of mass exits when supply spikes is one that investors are watching closely in the context of the TRUMP token unlock.

A balancing act: Bearish concerns vs bullish catalysts

Not all sentiment around the TRUMP token unlock is doom and gloom. Some analysts believe the token’s political branding and upcoming U.S. election cycle could counterbalance downward pressure.

Technical analyst Sweep pointed out that “media hype and increased attention from politically-driven communities may provide liquidity that offsets the unlock’s dilution effect.”

Adding fuel to the optimism, Justin Sun, founder of TRON, recently disclosed a $100 million investment into politically-themed crypto projects, including TRUMP. Such backing might provide a much-needed floor for prices.

TRUMP currently holds a market cap of approximately $1.9 billion, according to BeInCrypto. Injecting 45% more tokens into circulation could heavily dilute existing value—unless matched by a surge in demand.

“Unless there’s a serious uptick in buying activity, this unlock could apply brutal pressure on TRUMP’s price,” warned Hoeem, a prominent on-chain strategist.

Analysts are watching to see whether speculative buyers or politically motivated investors step in during or after the unlock.

What comes after the TRUMP token unlock?

The TRUMP token unlock on July 18, 2025, will likely be a pivotal moment. If the market absorbs the added supply without a deep sell-off, TRUMP may demonstrate strong resilience.

However, if selling spirals, it could send the price to new lows—especially as the token is already 85% off its all-time high.

What remains clear is this: The TRUMP token unlock is more than a supply event—it’s a litmus test for politically branded cryptocurrencies and how they fare under real market pressure.

The TRUMP token unlock represents both risk and opportunity. Traders and long-term holders must stay vigilant as whale activity, political momentum, and macro market sentiment converge in the days ahead.

As July 18 approaches, all eyes will be on TRUMP. Will it collapse under the weight of its own supply—or will it rally on political fervor and speculative hype?