Shares of SoftBank Group fell 12.53% in Tokyo on Friday after reports emerged that OpenAI is weighing a delay to its IPO until 2027, opting to hold out for a valuation approaching $1 trillion rather than list at a lower price this year.
Shares of Japan’s SoftBank Group tumbled 12.53% in Tokyo trading, making the technology investment powerhouse one of the largest drags on the Nikkei 225 index, which fell roughly 4% during the session. The decline reflects growing investor sensitivity to OpenAI’s listing timeline as SoftBank deepens its financial exposure to the artificial intelligence leader.
According to reports, OpenAI executives are weighing two paths: launching an IPO sooner at a lower valuation or delaying the listing in hopes of achieving a valuation approaching $1 trillion. The potential SoftBank OpenAI IPO delay immediately rattled investors who have increasingly viewed SoftBank as the closest publicly traded proxy for OpenAI’s future value.
SoftBank’s nassive OpenAI bet comes under pressure
SoftBank’s market value has become increasingly intertwined with OpenAI following a series of aggressive investments led by founder and CEO Masayoshi Son.
Earlier this year, SoftBank agreed to invest an additional $30 billion into OpenAI. Once finalized, the Japanese conglomerate’s total commitment will rise to approximately $64.6 billion, giving it an ownership stake estimated at around 13%.
That sizeable investment means any change to OpenAI’s public market plans carries significant implications for SoftBank shareholders.
Although delaying an IPO would not dilute SoftBank’s ownership position, it would postpone the first market-based valuation of its investment and delay any opportunity to monetize part of its stake.
Reports suggest OpenAI CEO Sam Altman is reluctant to pursue a public offering at a discounted valuation simply to accelerate the company’s stock market debut. Instead, he reportedly favors allowing the company to continue expanding privately until it can justify a substantially higher valuation.
OpenAI recently confidentially submitted a draft registration statement to the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, but the company emphasized at the time that no final decision had been made regarding the timing of an IPO and that remaining privately held for longer remained a possibility.
“The market is reacting less to today’s fundamentals than to expectations about future liquidity,” said Dan Ives, Managing Director and Senior Equity Research Analyst at Wedbush Securities, who has repeatedly argued that artificial intelligence remains in the early stages of a transformative investment cycle.
The uncertainty surrounding the SoftBank OpenAI IPO delay highlights how closely investors now associate SoftBank’s valuation with OpenAI’s long-term prospects.
OpenAI continues expanding despite IPO uncertainty
While questions surrounding its IPO dominate headlines, OpenAI continues moving aggressively to strengthen its technological leadership.
Earlier this week, the company introduced Jalapeño, its first custom-designed artificial intelligence chip, developed alongside Broadcom. The processor is intended to power inference workloads supporting ChatGPT, Codex, and future generations of AI agents.
The move represents an important strategic shift as OpenAI seeks greater control over its computing infrastructure while reducing reliance on third-party chip suppliers.
According to OpenAI, developing proprietary silicon is a long-term investment designed to improve efficiency and support increasingly sophisticated AI applications.
The company also unveiled its GPT-5.6 family of language models under the names Sol, Terra, and Luna. While the naming immediately generated discussion across cryptocurrency communities because of similarities to well-known blockchain projects, OpenAI clarified that the names simply represent capability tiers within its latest AI lineup and have no connection to digital assets.
These product launches demonstrate that operational momentum continues despite speculation surrounding the SoftBank OpenAI IPO delay.
Sam Altman has consistently emphasized that OpenAI’s primary objective remains building artificial general intelligence that benefits humanity, rather than optimizing for short-term public market expectations.
Broader business developments keep OpenAI in the spotlight
OpenAI has also remained in the news beyond technology announcements.
Reports last week indicated that Amazon withdrew from distributing Artificial, a film centered on Sam Altman. According to published reports, discussions are continuing with filmmakers regarding alternative distribution options.
The development coincided with Amazon’s expanding commercial relationship with OpenAI through a multi-billion-dollar investment agreement tied to future milestones, although the technology company has not publicly linked the two events.
Meanwhile, SoftBank founder Masayoshi Son recently defended the firm’s aggressive artificial intelligence investment strategy despite mounting market volatility.
Speaking before Friday’s selloff, Son dismissed comparisons between today’s AI investment boom and previous speculative bubbles.
“I’ve never been more excited about the future of artificial intelligence,” Son has previously said while outlining SoftBank’s long-term investment philosophy. He has repeatedly argued that AI will reshape nearly every industry over the coming decades, justifying substantial capital commitments despite near-term market fluctuations.
His comments underscore SoftBank’s conviction that artificial intelligence remains a once-in-a-generation investment opportunity, even as investors react sharply to uncertainty surrounding OpenAI’s public listing timeline.
Markets await clarity on OpenAI’s next move
For investors, the coming months may prove critical.
A decision to proceed with an IPO sooner could provide long-awaited price discovery for one of the world’s most valuable private technology companies. Conversely, extending its private status until 2027 could allow OpenAI to continue scaling revenue, expanding infrastructure and strengthening its competitive position before entering public markets.
Either outcome will likely have significant implications for SoftBank, whose growing ownership stake has made its share price increasingly sensitive to developments inside OpenAI.
Until management provides greater clarity, analysts expect volatility to remain elevated as investors reassess the timing of potential returns from SoftBank’s multibillion-dollar AI investment.
For now, the SoftBank OpenAI IPO delay has become the defining issue shaping investor sentiment. Whether OpenAI ultimately chooses immediate market access or waits to pursue a potential $1 trillion valuation, the decision is poised to influence not only SoftBank’s stock performance but also broader confidence in the rapidly evolving artificial intelligence sector.
As markets digest the implications, the SoftBank OpenAI IPO delay serves as another reminder that in today’s AI race, valuation expectations can move billions of dollars long before a company ever reaches the public markets. With SoftBank’s fortunes now closely tied to OpenAI’s trajectory, investors will be watching every development closely as the company weighs its next move.