US Odds of Establishing a Strategic Bitcoin Reserve Rise to 70% as Bitcoin Climbs Toward $106,000

US Strategic Bitcoin Reserve have reached an all-time high of 70% | Photo: Freepik
The likelihood of the United States establishing a US Strategic Bitcoin Reserve has reached an unprecedented 70%, according to the latest data from Kalshi betting markets.
This comes amid Bitcoin’s meteoric rise to $106,000 before settling at $103,120, a testament to the cryptocurrency’s growing importance on the global stage.
The US Strategic Bitcoin Reserve concept, heavily championed by industry leaders and crypto enthusiasts, has gained traction following the election of Donald Trump as the next U.S. president.
Speculation suggests that the administration could prioritize Bitcoin as a strategic asset, signaling a groundbreaking shift in national financial policy.
Bitcoin Hits $106,000 As The Market Reacts to The US Strategic Bitcoin Reserve
Bitcoin’s recent performance underscores its status as a powerhouse asset. Over the past 24 hours, Bitcoin’s price surged by 4%, hitting $106,000 before a slight pullback. The cryptocurrency has gained a staggering 16.9% over the past week, rising from $90,660 to its current levels.
Market analysts attribute this rally to speculation surrounding the new administration’s plans to develop a US Strategic Bitcoin Reserve, a move that could revolutionize how governments interact with digital currencies.

Anthony Pompliano, a prominent venture capitalist and Bitcoiner, highlighted the growing expectations, stating in a tweet, “The U.S. is waking up to Bitcoin’s strategic importance.”
The 70% probability of a US Strategic Bitcoin Reserve being established marks a historic milestone. The Kalshi betting market shows soaring confidence in the new administration’s willingness to adopt Bitcoin as part of its strategic assets.
Pompliano’s tweet coincided with Bitcoin’s brief surge past $106,000, fueling optimism among investors. Speaking about the development, Pompliano stated:
“Bitcoin isn’t just a speculative asset anymore—it’s becoming a strategic necessity. A US Bitcoin reserve could secure the country’s financial future in a world increasingly driven by digital assets.”
This sentiment resonates with a growing number of policymakers and financial experts who view Bitcoin as a hedge against traditional economic risks.
Trump’s Inauguration and Its Crypto Implications
Donald Trump’s upcoming inauguration on January 20th has amplified speculation about the US Strategic Bitcoin Reserve.
Known for his unconventional approach to economic policy, Trump has reportedly expressed interest in leveraging Bitcoin as a hedge against inflation and economic uncertainty.

Crypto commentator Caitlin Long noted, “Trump’s administration has the potential to make history by recognizing Bitcoin’s strategic value. A reserve could position the U.S. as a global leader in the digital economy.”
The DOJ’s Role and the Silk Road Bitcoin
Another critical factor in this unfolding narrative is the U.S. Department of Justice’s (DOJ) decision to potentially sell 69,370 BTC confiscated from a Silk Road hacker. Valued at approximately $7.15 billion, this Bitcoin stash represents a significant financial asset for the U.S. government.
While some expect the DOJ to liquidate the holdings, others, including crypto enthusiasts, are hopeful that the new administration will instead allocate these funds to the proposed US Strategic Bitcoin Reserve.
David Marcus, co-founder of Lightspark, weighed in on this potential decision, saying:
“The Silk Road Bitcoin stash could become a pivotal moment for the U.S. government. Retaining these assets would signal long-term confidence in Bitcoin and set the stage for a robust national reserve.”
The establishment of a US Strategic Bitcoin Reserve would mark a significant shift in global financial dynamics. Such a move could:
Hedge Against Inflation: Bitcoin’s fixed supply makes it a strong hedge against inflation, a key concern for policymakers.
Enhance National Security: By securing Bitcoin, the U.S. could reduce its reliance on foreign reserves and safeguard its economic sovereignty.
Boost Global Influence: A strategic reserve would position the U.S. as a leader in the adoption of digital assets, bolstering its global financial standing.
Michael Saylor, executive chairman of MicroStrategy, emphasized the strategic importance of Bitcoin, stating, “Owning Bitcoin is not just about financial gain—it’s about securing a nation’s economic future.”
The Road Ahead for Bitcoin and the U.S – US Strategic Bitcoin Reserve
As Bitcoin continues to gain mainstream acceptance, the concept of a US Strategic Bitcoin Reserve is no longer a far-fetched idea. The new administration’s approach to cryptocurrency could set a precedent for other nations, potentially triggering a global race to accumulate digital assets.
While the details remain speculative, the implications are clear: Bitcoin is cementing its place as a cornerstone of the modern financial system.
The rise in the probability of a US Strategic Bitcoin Reserve underscores the transformative impact of cryptocurrency on global finance. With Bitcoin trading at historic highs and the new U.S. administration poised to take a bold stance, the future of digital assets looks brighter than ever.
As Anthony Pompliano aptly put it, “Bitcoin is no longer optional—it’s inevitable.” Whether or not the U.S. formally establishes a strategic reserve, one thing is certain: the world is watching, and Bitcoin’s role in shaping the future of finance is undeniable. Stay updated with the latest developments in the cryptocurrency industry through The BIT Gazette